BTC Price Prediction: 2025-2040 Forecasts Amid Institutional Adoption Wave

Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

Texas Bitcoin Reserve Bill Nears Enactment Without Governor's Signature

Texas stands on the verge of becoming a pioneer in state-level Bitcoin adoption as Senate Bill 21 approaches automatic enactment. The legislation, which would allow the state comptroller to allocate surplus funds toward Bitcoin purchases, remains under Governor Greg Abbott's review just days before the deadline.

The bill establishes rigorous criteria for reserve assets, requiring a $600 billion market capitalization for two consecutive years—a threshold currently met only by Bitcoin. This mirrors existing protocols for Gold holdings in the Texas Bullion Depository, ensuring comparable transparency and oversight.

Political observers note the absence of ceremonial fanfare surrounding SB 21 contrasts with Abbott's handling of other high-priority legislation. "It's a bit odd he missed the last weekday opportunity to hold a press conference," remarked Julian Fahrer of bitcoin Laws, referencing the governor's typical approach to significant bill signings.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Volatility Surges as Institutional Confidence Grows

Bitcoin faces renewed selling pressure, slipping below the critical $104,000 support level as technical indicators flash bearish signals. The cryptocurrency now trades near $103,829, marking a 2% decline amid surging $46.6 billion daily volume.

Technical charts show BTC trapped beneath a descending trendline, with the 50-period EMA at $104,657 acting as immediate resistance. A bearish MACD crossover suggests deepening downward momentum, with potential support levels emerging at $103,000 and $102,499.

Despite short-term weakness, institutional interest appears robust. Semler Scientific plans to expand its Bitcoin holdings from 4,449 to 105,000 BTC by 2027, appointing dedicated BTC strategist Joe Burnett to oversee the accumulation strategy.

Michael Saylor Reaffirms Bitcoin Bullishness Amid Market Dip

MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor remains steadfast in his long-term Bitcoin Optimism despite a $2,500 price retreat. The cryptocurrency slid 4.87% from its weekly peak of $108,850, with a 2.33% drop in the past 24 hours alone.

Saylor's recent Matrix-themed social media post—"tickets to escape the matrix are priced in Bitcoin"—reinforces his libertarian-leaning stance on BTC as a financial system alternative. The executive continues walking a middle path on custody debates, acknowledging both self-storage and institutional solutions as valid after earlier criticism of hardline "not your keys" proponents.

On-chain metrics reveal a telling divergence: whales holding 10+ BTC added 231 wallets this fortnight (0.15% growth) while retail addresses dwindled by 37,465. Santiment interprets this accumulation pattern as historically preceding price recoveries, suggesting institutional players may be positioning for the next rally.

Semler Scientific Unveils 105K Bitcoin Ambition, Pushing Boundaries of Treasury Strategy

Semler Scientific, a healthcare technology firm listed on Nasdaq (SMLR), has announced an aggressive plan to accumulate 105,000 BTC by 2027. The MOVE signals unwavering confidence in Bitcoin's role as a global monetary revolution.

The company's treasury strategy marks a bold departure from conventional corporate finance, positioning Bitcoin as a cornerstone asset. This accumulation target, if achieved, WOULD place Semler among the largest corporate holders of cryptocurrency.

Parataxis Capital Establishes Bitcoin-Native Treasury Platform in South Korea

Parataxis Holdings LLC is making a strategic move into South Korea's digital asset space with a $18.3 million investment in Bridge Biotherapeutics. The deal grants Parataxis a controlling stake and will rebrand the company as Parataxis Korea, marking the creation of the first Bitcoin-native treasury platform in South Korean public markets.

The initiative leverages Parataxis Capital's expertise in digital assets, particularly Bitcoin (BTC), to establish a foothold in Asia's fourth-largest economy. This development signals growing institutional adoption of cryptocurrency strategies in traditional finance markets.

Will Bitcoin (BTC) Break Below $100,000 as Q2 Nears its End?

Bitcoin faces mounting bearish pressure as macroeconomic uncertainty drives risk-off sentiment. The cryptocurrency's struggle to sustain momentum above $103,000 has triggered a shift in derivatives positioning, with Coinglass data showing the long/short ratio flipping to 0.95 - signaling dominant short interest among traders.

Futures markets now reflect growing skepticism about BTC's rally continuation. The shrinking green bars on the BBTrend indicator further corroborate weakening buying pressure, suggesting potential downside as quarter-end approaches. This technical deterioration coincides with broader market apprehension about global liquidity conditions.

Arizona Senate Revives Bitcoin Reserve Bill for Seized Crypto Assets

Arizona lawmakers have reignited efforts to establish a legal framework for seized digital assets, voting to reconsider a failed bill that would update the state's forfeiture laws. The legislation, which narrowly passed the Senate with a 16-14 vote, now returns to the House for further deliberation.

The revived proposal seeks to create explicit procedures for law enforcement to confiscate cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, including access to digital wallets and private keys. A dedicated reserve fund would manage these assets, with allocations prioritizing the Attorney General's office.

This move signals growing institutional recognition of cryptocurrency's role in financial systems, particularly regarding asset seizure and management. Arizona continues positioning itself as a crypto-forward jurisdiction, building on its early adoption of Bitcoin reserves.

Bitcoin Options Expiry Tests $100K Support as Bears Lurk

Bitcoin faces a critical test as $4 billion in options approach expiry, with max pain at $105,000. The $100,000 support level remains resilient despite $105 million in long liquidations triggered by a 1.19% price dip to $102,446.

Market dynamics reveal a paradox: steady institutional inflows and whale accumulation contrast with retail apathy and macro headwinds. Derivatives traders have capitalized on this uncertainty, pushing options and futures open interest to record highs in late May.

The put/call ratio's upward trajectory signals growing bearish sentiment. Yet the $100,000 floor continues to demonstrate remarkable bid-side strength, absorbing downward pressure like a financial shock absorber.

France Grapples with Surge in Crypto Kidnappings as Adoption Grows

France is confronting a disturbing rise in violent kidnappings targeting cryptocurrency holders and industry figures. In a recent incident near Paris, a 23-year-old man was abducted in Maisons-Alfort, held hostage for hours, and forced to surrender €5,000 in cash and access to his Ledger hardware wallet. The attackers reportedly used physical violence to extract information about his crypto holdings.

Authorities thwarted another planned abduction in Normandy after a 22-year-old trader and his mother reported being followed. Five suspects were arrested. The trend follows the high-profile kidnapping of Ledger co-founder David Balland and his wife, who suffered severe injuries including a mutilated hand during the ordeal.

Security experts warn that crypto-related crimes are intensifying globally as adoption spreads. The incidents highlight growing risks for digital asset holders and underscore calls for stronger security measures and regulatory frameworks.

Bitcoin Network Activity Slows as Whales Dominate On-Chain Transfers

Bitcoin's on-chain network activity has slowed to a crawl, with daily transaction counts hitting their lowest levels since late 2023. Glassnode data reveals a stark contrast between the cryptocurrency's price resilience above $105,000 and dwindling blockchain usage—a phenomenon some analysts are calling a 'ghost town' scenario.

The decline stems largely from reduced non-monetary activity like Inscriptions and Runes, which previously drove record transaction volumes. Daily throughput has plummeted from 2024's peak of 734,000 transactions to between 320,000-500,000. Yet beneath the surface, institutional players are reshaping the network's dynamics through high-value transfers averaging $7.5 billion daily.

Whale movements now dominate the Bitcoin base layer, with single-day settlement volumes reaching $16 billion. This institutional footprint suggests accumulation patterns may be developing despite retail participation waning—a divergence that could foreshadow significant price movements when network activity reignites.

Connecticut Teen Admits Role in $245 Million Bitcoin Heist

A 19-year-old from Danbury, Connecticut, Chetal, has pleaded guilty to his involvement in a high-profile Bitcoin theft and agreed to testify against his co-defendants. The trio allegedly stole 4,100 BTC from a Washington D.C. resident last August, funneling the proceeds into luxury cars, jewelry, and lavish rentals.

The case took a dramatic turn when Chetal's parents were kidnapped shortly after the heist. Authorities believe the assailants targeted them to pressure Chetal into surrendering digital assets. The victims were ambushed in their Lamborghini SUV but rescued after witnesses alerted police, leading to six arrests.

BTC Price Predictions: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040 Forecasts

Olivia's projections assume:

• 2025: Short-term volatility from current technicals gives way to post-halving demand
• 2030: Accelerating adoption as nation-states and corporations allocate 1-5% of treasuries
• 2035+: Network effects compound as Bitcoin captures 10-20% of global store-of-value market

"These estimates incorporate 15-30% annual volatility," she cautions.